#3 Lakers vs. #6 Nuggets: Pre-Series Analysis

Co-Written by Hunter Black-Mamba & Eric Busta-Mamba

The #3 Los Angeles Lakers take on the #6 Denver Nuggets in the first round of the 2012 NBA Playoffs. LakerMagic looks at that series in depth as the Lakers begin their “Road to Redemption”.

Series History

The Nuggets and Lakers have met numerous times in the NBA playoffs so there is some familiarity between the teams.  That said, the Lakers have dominated the series history on their way to taking 8 out of 9 series in the playoffs.  Due to this dominance, it’s no wonder LakerMagic is stressing that Denver is the better matchup to Dallas for the Lakers in the first round.

Lakers Advantages

The Lakers come into the series with three all-stars in Bryant, Bynum and Gasol that all have extensive playoff experience. They should be able to dominate a young Denver team that doesn’t even have an all-star on the roster. Look for Kobe to average anywhere from 23-28 ppg in this series.

The Lakers also have two future Hall of Fame big men in Gasol and Bynum who should dominate the undersized Nuggets. Denver will put up the likes of JaVale McGee and Timothy Mozgov in attempt to slow down the Lakers’ twin towers. If the Lakers play inside-out and utilize their size advantage, this should be an easy series for the Lakers.

Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum, Bynum, Gasol, Bynum block

Bynum and Gasol will look to control the paint against an undersized Denver Nuggets squad.

Nuggets Advantages

The Nuggets come into the series as the highest scoring team in the NBA. They did this by controlling tempo and getting up and down the floor. Point guards Ty Lawson and Andre Miller will try to speed things up against an older, slower Lakers squad. If they are successful in this task they could steal a game or two from the Lakers.

Denver may also have the coaching edge as Nuggets Coach George Karl has always gotten the most out of his players. Look for Karl to throw everything but the kitchen sink at Kobe and the Lakers in attempt to pull off the unlikely upset.

Matchup to Watch

SG Kobe Bryant vs. Arron Afflalo

The Black Mamba has more experience and skill than fellow SG Arron Afflalo and should get his shots in this serious. However, don’t expect it to come easy for Bryant as Afflalo is one of the better defenders in the league at the two-guard position. While Afflalo will often cover Kobe one-on-one, expect the Nuggets to throw lots of double teams the Mamba’s way as they attempt to make things difficult for the Lakers star. Lakers fans can expect physicality, trash-talking and an elbow or two as the Nuggets attempt to limit the Mamba’s productivity.

Key Injuries

Los Angeles Lakers

SF Metta World Peace (Out 6 games, Suspension) – Metta World Peace will make the first six games of this series, if it even gets that far. Devin Ebanks will start and Matt Barnes will log minutes at SF when he returns from his ankle injury.

SF Matt Barnes (Day-to-Day, Ankle) – Matt Barnes will try to tough it out as he recovers from an ankle injury suffered late in the regular season. With World Peace out for most of the series, the Lakers will need Barnes to step up on both ends of the floor.

Denver Nuggets

SF Wilson Chandler (Out for Season, Hip) – The most versatile player in the Nuggets roster will miss the entire postseason with a hip injury that required surgery. Denver will miss Chandler while Danilo Gallinari will play more minutes.

Series Predictions

Best Case Scenario for Lakers: 4-game sweep

Best Case Scenario for Nuggets: 7-game series

LakerMagic Prediction: Lakers in 5

Golden Nuggets: 5 Reasons Denver better matchup than Dallas for L.A.

The Los Angeles Lakers begin their “Road to Redemption” at Staples Center with a tasty matchup against the #6 seed Denver Nuggets.

While many Lakers fans had been licking their chops at the opportunity to exact revenge on the rival Mavericks, LakerMagic has remained firm in our stance that the Nuggets are the easier opponent for the Lakers. Here are 5 reasons why Denver is the preferred matchup for the Lakers:

#1 Dirk Nowitzki

Let’s start with the obvious. Quite simply, Dallas has a superstar and Denver just doesn’t. As we all know, superstars carry teams during the playoffs and Dirk is no exception. In fact we all learned last season that Dirk is the type of player that can single-handily carry a team to the NBA championship. There are only a few players in the league capable of this feat: Kobe, Dirk, LeBron, D-Wade — just to name a few. Not only does Denver not have a Dirk-type, but they don’t even have an all-star on their team. In a close game, they will struggle to find a “g0-to guy” able to make the big shot to win a game. Dallas doesn’t have this problem with Dirk.

#2 Youth vs. Experience

The Nuggets might not have an all-star on their roster but they sure do have a plethora of young talent. Unfortunately for Denver, youth doesn’t win ballgames in the playoffs. Guys like Ty Lawson, Arron Afflalo and JaVale McGee are all nice players, but are any of them ready for the spotlight? Like I said, nobody on the roster has even made the all-star team yet. Contrast that with a Dallas roster stacked with savvy veterans like Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, Jason Terry and of course Dirk Nowitzki. It’s a no-brainer if you’re the Lakers who you’d rather play. The Lakers’ playoff and finals experience will be too much for this young Denver roster to handle.

Jason Terry, Jason Kidd, Mavs, Dallas Mavericks

The experience of the defending champion Mavericks makes them a tough out in the first round of the playoffs.

#3 The Heart of a Champion

You can’t deny the heart of a champion. Sure the Mavericks are the #7 seed and a heavy underdog to the Thunder, but trust me when I say the Lakers would much rather play the Nuggets than try to knock out the defending champs.  The Lakers have owned Denver in the playoffs for the last half decade while they were swept out of the second round by Dallas last season. Even if L.A. did sweep the regular season series 4-0, the Mavs swept the Lakers in the all-important postseason and thus still own the ‘mental edge’. While the Lakers would probably still beat the Mavs 4-2 or 4-1, the wear and tear on their bodies from such a grueling series would make them more vulnerable against Oklahoma City in Round 2. No thank you.

#4 Coaching

Not to knock Lakers Coach Mike Brown, but both George Karl and Rick Carlisle are better coaches than him at this point in their careers. That said I’d much rather go against the Nuggets’ Karl who is older and slightly past his prime. Yes he gets his teams to play hard every night, but he just doesn’t have the edge anymore like he did in Seattle and his early days of Denver. Rick Carlisle on the other hand is regarded as one of the top 3 coaches in the NBA along with Greg Popovich and Tim Thibodeau. Again, I think the Lakers would take care of either team in five or six games, but I’d much rather have Coach Karl making halftime adjustments than Coach Carlisle.

Nene, Nene Hilario, Bynum, Andrew Bynum

The subtractions of Nene and Wilson Chandler will be a huge advantage for the Lakers in this series.

#5 Health & Injuries

The Nuggets come into the NBA Playoffs hot but with question marks. Having Danilo Gallinari healthy in the post-season is a luxury for Denver, but what about the loss of Wilson Chandler? Perhaps their most versatile player will miss the rest of the season with a hip injury, something that many NBA analysts are forgetting when discussing the Lakers-Nuggets series. Couple this with the fact that stud Nene has been replaced with inconsistent JaVale McGee and the Nuggets are actually worse off they than were two months ago. The Mavs lost Tyson Chandler and J.J. Barea in the offseason but added Vince Carter and Delonte West to soften the blow. More importantly, they rested Jason Kidd and other veterans recently in order to get ready to defend their title. Given the state of both rosters, give me the Nuggets in Round 1.

Prediction: Lakers in 5

LAL @ SA preview: Kobeless Lakers battle bad-to-bone Spurs

In a possible Western Conference Finals preview, the Kobe-less Los Angeles Lakers travel to San Antonio to take on the red-hot Spurs. This is the first of three meetings in the next two weeks between the rivals and will help dictate playoff positioning. Here are 4 pregame story lines for tonight’s game:

No Mamba Snakes in San Antonio

It’s true, there are no Black Mambas in San Antonio, Texas. In case Lakers fans haven’t heard, Kobe Bryant will miss his third straight game tonight against the Spurs with a painful shin injury. Alas, there will be no Willis Reed-like entrance for Kobe from the tunnel just before tip-off as Coach Mike Brown has already ruled Bryant out for the game. Unfortunately for Lakers fans, all-stars Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker are all expected to play after sitting out a game Monday to rest. The Spurs are red-hot, winners of 11 straight before losing to Utah without their studs so the Lakers will need to come to play.

Fishing for an Identity without Kobe

Even with Kobe in the lineup, the Lakers have not looked like the same team lately. Last week they lost to an inferior Houston Rockets team at home, a game in which Bryant played but Bynum got ejected in. The Lakers followed that up with a blowout loss in Phoenix and a win in New Orleans in which they needed a 15-2 run in the 4th quarter just to pull out a 2-point victory. Without Kobe in the lineup and no Derek Fisher to save them in 0.4 seconds, the Lakers will need to find team chemistry fast or Lakers fans can expect another Phoenix-like blowout.

Derek Fisher, 0.4, 0.4 shot, Fisher Spurs, Fisher Spurs shot

Maybe the greatest shot of all-time. Maybe the Lakers shouldn't have traded D-Fish...

Big Men + Big Bench = Big Win

If the Lakers have any chance of beating the Spurs, their all-star big men will have to dominate the older, slower Tim Duncan inside. Pau Gasol has played well in Kobe’s absence and will have to stay aggressive, while enigmatic Andrew Bynum needs to just play defense, rebound and shut his mouth. The Lakers will also need more than single digit points from their bench tonight to match up with arguably the best bench in the NBA this season. Solid efforts from Matt Barnes, Troy Murphy and particularly Steve Blake will be essential tonight for a Lakers victory.

Birthday Sessions for Ramon

Other than the Lakers’ twin towers and bench output, the final x-factor tonight will be birthday boy Ramon Sessions. On his 26th birthday, Sessions will have his hands full with legit MVP candidate Tony Parker. While Parker has the rings and the experience, Sessions at this age is faster and hopefully can drop 26 points on his 26th birthday while making sure the Lakers control tempo.

Lakers fans, do the Lakers have a shot tonight without the Black Mamba? What will the final score of the game be?

 

Hunter23 contributed to this article.

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